On The Market

• Can America Resist a Global Recession? w/Moody’s Mark Zandi

  With evidence of a global recession piling up, Americans have just one question—will we be affected? So far, everything is going well for the US. Job growth continues, unemployment is low, and asset prices are high, but with the global economy becoming increasingly interlinked, could a crash in Europe or Asia pull us down with them? Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics, has a contrarian viewpoint that defies the masses. But Mark has bigger worries than a global recession taking down the US economy. We could be our own worst enemy as “tinder” for an interest rate fire begins to pile up, and the bond market may be more than ready to light it. Even with President Trump’s push for lower interest rates and the Fed pausing rate cuts, could we see mortgage rates fly up higher, defying the system meant to keep them in check? Plus, what does DeepSeek’s entry into the AI race mean for the US economy? Could this cheaper, sleeker AI bring serious competition not only to the US AI market but also to chip manufacturers whose stock prices have been carrying the market to record highs? It’s a lot to unpack, but Mark does a phenomenal job laying it all out.  In This Episode We Cover Whether the US’s strong economy could falter during the next global recession DeepSeek’s threat to the US tech market and whether we’re facing another “dot-com bubble” scenario Why interest rates are scarily close to rising again as the bond market gets increasingly frustrated The catalyst for home prices to drop with so many “locked-in” homeowners Are stocks way too overvalued with price-to-earnings ratios at record highs? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 285 - Bond “Vigilantes” Hold Interest Rates Hostage as Rate Cut Hopes Shrink Mark’s X/Twitter Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:44) An “Exceptional” Economy, But…  (04:53) Tariffs Could Cost Us  (08:13) Why America is Winning (10:46) Global Recession? (12:44) Massive Interest Rate Risk (20:23) Could Home Prices Fall?  (23:30) DeepSeek Changes AI Race Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-292 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• 3 Housing Market Trends That Will Shape 2025

  Which real estate trends could make you wealthier in 2025? Every year, it’s something new. A few years ago, it was short-term rentals, then mid-term rentals and multifamily investing took over. Now, the housing market has changed once again, and those same real estate investing trends aren’t so hot. So, what can you invest in NOW that gives you the highest return on the market before other investors realize it? Today, we’re touching on three housing market trends that will skyrocket in 2025. Two of these are investing strategies that are making savvy investors serious money, and one is something EVERY single investor (and homeowner) must be aware of, or you could be stuck with a property bleeding money. We’ll talk about the increase in “density” investing exploding demand for one often-overlooked type of asset, what to do when your cash flow is low in the wake of rising expenses, and why the silver tsunami may become the cash flow tsunami for one specific property.  In This Episode We Cover The one investment property that can make you $10,000 - $15,000 per MONTH in cash flow (it’s way smaller than you think) Why local governments are pushing investors to build “dense” housing units Is cash flow dead as expenses rise and rents stay stagnant? Why smart investors are selling some of their properties that don’t meet THIS criteria When James says to NOT build an ADU (or DADU) on your property And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily 1334 - A Wave of Zoning Law Changes Could Have Huge Impacts for Investors and Housing—Here’s What You Need to Know Grab Dave’s Book “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:38) "Density" Investing with DADUs (10:54) Is Cash Flow Dead? (19:08) Assisted Living Demand Explodes Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-291  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  34:44
• Redfin: Tariff Fears Drive Up Mortgage Rates, Throwing 2025 Off-Track

  Could Trump’s proposed tariffs be the reason for the recent rise in mortgage rates? Could this slow the housing market and cause affordability to get worse? What happens if rates stay higher for longer and more homebuyers get kicked out of the market? We’re talking to Redfin’s Chen Zhao about how tariffs will affect you and the surprising findings from a new homeowner survey foreshadowing something none of us wanted to see about housing inventory. Tariffs could change many things: they could increase construction costs for houses, lead to higher inflation and higher mortgage rates, or put jobs back into American communities. Does the market believe the Trump administration will go forward with their flat tariff for most countries? Or will they pick and choose specific exporters within specific countries to tack a tariff onto? Plus, why are sixty percent of homeowners planning NOT to sell their homes in the near future or…ever? If higher mortgage rates remain, will all those homeowners with low mortgage rates stay put without downsizing or moving, locking up housing inventory tighter than it currently is? It’s possible, potentially leading to long-term declines in real estate prices. But don’t worry, Chen breaks down the entire timeline. In This Episode We Cover Trump’s tariffs and the effect they’re having on mortgage rates  Redfin’s shocking new homeowner survey that points to more locked-up inventory Is a real estate price correction coming? Why prices could slump after rising Whether or not the market thinks Trump will go forward with vast tariff proposals Why interest rates could stay higher for longer than many of us expected And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Daily Podcast 1263 - Investors: Stop Worrying About Interest Rates—Here’s Why Right Now Is the Time to Buy Redfin: More Than One-Third of Homeowners Say They’ll Never Sell Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-290  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  35:36
• Deals Are HERE for These “Thawing” Real Estate Markets

  The housing market is changing. Some once-hot markets are showing signs of becoming buyer's markets, giving you a better opportunity to snag your next real estate deal. With days-on-market growing but underlying fundamentals looking strong, this could be one of the best times to buy houses in cities that have phenomenal long-term potential but haven't heated up again to become seller's markets. Why not skip the competition and buy in great markets beginning to cool? Today, we share some of the best markets to buy in, with the biggest investment opportunities. Data scientist Austin Wolff is back to talk about the "coldest" markets that have the best buying potential and some affordable cities that still have below-average home prices but well above-average housing market metrics. We're talking about why these buyer's markets are suddenly emerging, Dave's favorite "cold" market with serious potential, Kathy's famous money-making market seeing massive job growth, and what to look for when buying in these (temporarily) chilled housing markets. In This Episode We Cover The new buyer's markets that boast solid housing market fundamentals Why some of the nation's top markets are seeing days-on-market rise  Have homeowners finally accepted this new normal and are ready to sell? Kathy's number one tip when buying and rehabbing older homes The neighborhoods Dave's looking to buy in (long-term rent growth potential) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Grab the Housing Market Data from Today’s Show Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Know the Numbers Before You Buy with “Real Estate By the Numbers” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:15) Why Housing is “Thawing” (05:24) Signs Your Market is Slowing (11:00) Buyer’s Markets Emerge (15:19) New Buyer’s Markets (21:10) Dave's Favorite “Cold” Market (23:40) Do This Before Buying Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-289  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  33:05
• Investor Sentiment Quickly Turns as Home Sales Bottom, Inventory Rebounds

  We’ve got great news for investors, agents, lenders, and first-time homebuyers: housing inventory is about to rise…big time. After years of limited inventory, with homebuyers fighting tooth and nail to get into just about any home, the tide is finally turning. Rick Sharga from CJ Patrick Company brings new data and insight to the show, sharing why we could return to pre-pandemic housing inventory levels by the end of 2025. Why is that good news for so many of us? Because home prices could slow, if not drop, in some markets as buyers get a better selection of houses to choose from. Those “locked-in” owners with rock-bottom interest rates have waited long enough to sell, and 2025 could be the time they put their homes on the market. But if a new wave of inventory hits the housing market, are we at risk of a home price correction or a crash? Rick shares what the data shows and why investors are so pessimistic about the current housing market, even with the inventory forecasts looking so good. Will foreclosures rise again as consumer debt hits an all-time high? Could more off-market deals be in the pipeline in 2025? We’re asking Rick and getting answers to all those questions in today’s show.  In This Episode We Cover A historic housing inventory rebound and why this is great news for buyers, agents, and lenders Whether home prices will grow, stabilize, or crash with so much new inventory coming online The new Investor Sentiment Survey and why optimism fell off a cliff in Q4 2024  The single-biggest worry for rental property investors in 2025 and why it may get worse How to still find motivated sellers even with foreclosures at low levels And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 1065 - It’s About to Get Good! (2025 Housing Market Predictions) CJ Patrick Company Investor Sentiment Survey Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (01:15) Housing Inventory to Rebound in 2025 (06:27) Home Price Growth to Slow (08:45) Could Home Prices Crash?  (15:43) Investor Sentiment Falls (21:53) Top Rising Cost for Rentals (27:27) Foreclosure Deals? Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-288 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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